Monday, May 12, 2008

why we could never marry other people...

me: i think, during the wedding, we should have two people whose jobs are to have laptops logged into our facebook accounts, and hit "apply" to change from "engaged" to "married" when we're pronounced man and wife

Matthew: lol
that would be hilarious...
iphones also work ;p

me: true
i'm not specific on the laptops part

Matthew: gotcha

me: but since you bring that up... paul and mike would probably work
can we recruit them for that?
;p

Matthew: if you want

me: would be funny...

Matthew: it would be

me: you don't want this to happen, do you?

Matthew: no, i actually like the idea

Tuesday, May 06, 2008

oh, yeah, and...

KOBE = MVP!

that's all.

oh, one more thing: 3 posts in a day. you can expect a multi-month hiatus now. (we all know that's a lie, but just go with it).

on gas and holidays

i seem to have strayed way off point on the last post about the gas tax holiday.

let's be clear here: i'm not saying that saving money is not a worthy cause to me. i'm not saying that saving $1 is not a worthy cause to me. hell, i'm not even saying that saying 18.4 *cents* is not a worthy cause to me. i don't buy clothes when they're not on sale. i have trouble throwing something away if there's even a sliver of possibility that i could ever want to use it again. i am a natural bargain hunter, and i don't think i could ever change that.

all of my favorite shirts were purchased for under $5. a couple of them were purchased for $2. my favorite pair of jeans, ever, were $5. i wore them until the hole at the corner of the butt pocket was so large i couldn't ignore the fact that people could see my underwear anymore. i still haven't thrown away those jeans. i could salvage the material and make something else out of them! let's face it: i'm asian, and it's probably somewhere in my blood. but the trade-off here is just not worth it to me.

the point isn't how little we'd actually save if the plan actually worked. the main point is that clinton's plan (the one that entails big oil reimbursing the federal government for the lost revenue of suspending the gas tax) won't work, since they can just pass the charge along to the consumer (they are, after all, businesses. the purpose of a business is make money).

what it comes down to, is that the problem has nothing to do with this being a "short-term" solution. i love stop-gaps. i think they're wonderful things that sometimes buy us the time to work out a proper, well-planned, thought-out solution (rather than rushing to try to implement the permanent fix NOW and having to revisit the entire problem again later in short order, when your sleep-deprived solution falls apart or bares its shortcomings).

this is not a stop-gap. this is not a short-term fix. both labels imply that the thing will at least serve the purpose of the eventual long-term solution, if less effectively, less acceptably, or less reliably. or, i suppose, less elegantly.

on the other hand, if we implement the plan without trying to get big oil to pick up the slack (mccain's plan?), who will pay to fill our potholes and reinforce our failing bridges and overpasses? because, in this country, that is generally where the gas tax steps in, is it not?

this one would possibly qualify for the previous labels. unfortunately, for me, it falls in the serves-the-purpose-"less acceptably" column. i'm *not* okay with allowing our interstates to become more dangerous so i can save a few cents per gallon. if i drive into a pothole and damage my car because i wanted to save some money this summer, then i consider that my karmic reward. but if some bridge or overpass on an interstate fails and people die because i wanted to save some money? i don't think i could *ever* be okay with that.

and how many people would even get that connection? or would they just blame the stupid politicians?

and yes, i know that it's unlikely that the suspension of the gas tax will kill somebody. but that's like playing russian roulette with more chambers. yes, it's safer than the original flavor. i'm still not willing to take that risk (and for what?).

***

yes, i realize that, for some people, $5 per paycheck is the difference between scraping by and being homeless. i also know that there are many other factors that can give you $5 per paycheck. or save you $5 per paycheck.

and while i believe that the government should take living conditions of its denizens (not just the citizens) into account when it makes decisions, i also don't believe that it is the government's job to bail you out of a bad situation.

this belief, however, has nothing to do with my opposition to the gas tax holiday (or at least not much). my sticking point is that it's likely ineffective and possibly damaging.

i am not *as* opposed to mccain's proposal as i am to hillary's (though i still am opposed). and i realize that if you substitute "wanted to save my house" for "wanted to save some money" in that paragraph about his plan, the decision becomes much harder to make. that said, i still don't think that you should look to the gas tax (or even the federal government) when you're trying to save your house.

***

one thing i *would* like to see a report on, in terms of gas prices and related issues, is why diesel prices always climb faster and higher than unleaded prices when we're all worried about gas prices. normally, diesel's around the same price as low-grade unleaded. when we're in a gas price "crisis," it's generally around a dollar/gallon more.

i suspect that they're targeting the group of drivers who have no choice about whether or not they're going drive lots of long-distance trips: truck drivers. raising the prices any more on unleaded could lead to greatly reduced consumption (especially now, in vacation season), but doing the same to diesel... the consumption numbers won't take as big of a hit.

maybe i only suspect this because i'm cynical. maybe this isn't the case. but it does seem like basic supply and demand theory, and, like i said, it *is* a business.

most other businesses need to be careful how they treat their customers, so they won't lose them. i don't think the idea applies here.

the dynamic between truckers and fuel suppliers feels like an abusive relationship. how do you get out of an abusive relationship when you need it to put food on your table?

p.s. oh, yeah. the gas tax is higher for diesel, too.

i know what i want...

i know i'm one of the most indecisive people ever (though my brother probably beats me on that count).

i know that my ideas seem half-baked and rooted in nothing.

but you know what? i know what will make me happy. i may not be able to tell you why, but i know the difference between something that will make me happy, and something that just seems like it would make me happy.

and yes, i know that i'm hardly ever content. but that's mostly because there's always *something* wrong. it's not that there's nothing making me happy at that moment in time. it's just that my brain, in all its infinite wisdom (and my inability to control it), focuses more on the problem. working on solving the problem. even if the problem can't be solved.

'cause, you know, the happy things don't need solutions.

Friday, May 02, 2008

politics are yukky.

but this post is about common sense. and maybe a little (lot of) math (arithmetic).

so certain people in washington (or on the campaign trail, as it may be) are calling for the gas tax holiday-thing. are you kidding me? but, as stupid as it is, i've been biting my tongue (or my blog-tongue, at least) about this, since it's just politics as usual.

but then a quote from hillary tipped my over the edge.

“I believe it would be important to get every member of Congress on record,” Clinton told supporters at a rally in southern Indiana. “Do they stand with the hard-pressed Americans who are trying to pay their gas bills at the gas station or do they once again stand with the oil companies?

“I want to know where people stand and I want them to tell us, are they with us or against us when it comes to taking on the oil companies?” she added.


taking on the oil companies? i know hillary wants to levy/tax/charge/whatever the oil companies to recuperate the lost revenue from suspending the gas tax, but, um... couldn't they just, in turn, raise the price of oil and recuperate their losses, leaving us pretty much where we are right now? (this, of course, is assuming that the cents-per-gallon taxes quoted are absolute taxes, and not variable based on the current price)

and lets assume this works. suspension of the gas tax results of gas that's 18.4 cents cheaper than it would otherwise have been. what does this do?

lower prices at the pump could result in more road trips. which is exactly what we need if we're actually in a gas crisis (as some corporations would have us believe). i keep seeing comments that this does nothing for "long-run conservation." what does it do for conservation at all?

it might stimulate the economy, though.

so... how much does this actually matter? i mean, i know that prices nearly 20 cents per gallon lower would certainly make *me* feel better about gas prices. but really, how much difference does it actually make?

i have a 14.4 gallon tank in my car. by my fueling habits, my average fill-up is usually somewhere between 12 and 13 gallons. it's usually on the lower end of that range, but let's say i've been driving everybody to lunch or something.

13 gallons/fill-up * 18.4 cents/gallon = 239.2 cents/fill-up = $2.392/fill-up.

even if i fill up once a week (i don't), this amounts to less than $5 per paycheck.

...

what a band-aid.

***

so there were a bunch of assumptions here.

1) that the tax holiday will even be effective (that the price of gas won't rise to compensate for the tax)
2) 13 gallons per fill-up, 30 miles per gallon (let's face it: in this country, this is pretty efficient. it shouldn't be, but it is)

for comparison, at 75 mph (applicable to road trips):

for a conservative estimate on me, using 30mpg
(75 miles/hour) / (30 miles/gallon) * (18.4 cents/gallon) = 46 cents/hour

for a conservative estimate on the toyota landcruiser (epa estimated 13/18 mpg city/hwy), using 15 mpg:
(75 miles/hour) / (15 miles/gallon) * (18.4 cents/gallon) = 92 cents/hour

it looks like, in the worst case, you're spending about $1 on the gas tax for every hour you drive.

*note: in case you're thinking about accusing me of using a toyota to skew the fuel-efficiency numbers, a chevy suburban is epa estimated at 14/19 mpg city/hwy. i really tried to get the lowest numbers i could... so i just rounded down to 15 hwy.